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What Next -- Climate Watch

Cancún outcomes

Here is a summary of the key outcomes of COP 16 in Cancún. Positive outcomes are in green, negative outcomes are in red, and neutral/ambivalent outcomes are in grey. So, according to this mind map one could summarize the Cancun meeting as around 85% bad and 15% good. However, some of the bad outcomes are very significant, particularly the move towards a paradigm shift of pledge & review rather than the clear, legally binding principles of the Kyoto Protocol.

Cancun outcomes_420pxl_shadow
Click on the map for a hi-resolution version for viewing online or printing (comes out best in A3-format).
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Rich accused of 'holding humanity hostage' - John Vidal

Cancún climate summit: Rich accused of 'holding humanity hostage'

Latin American leaders claim poorest nations imperilled by lack of
action on global warming


   * John Vidal and Jo Tuckman in Mexico City
   * guardian.co.uk, Friday 26 November 2010 19.24 GMT
   * Article history

Egyptians' sun symbol in Wadi Natrun desert Egyptians form a giant sun
in the Wadi Natrun desert to highlight global warming ahead of the
climate talks. Photograph: Patrick Baz/AFP/Getty Images

In the absence of Barack Obama, David Cameron and most developed
country leaders, a group of Britain's least-welcome heads of state
plans to grab centre-stage at next week's global climate summit and
accuse wealthy countries of a collective lack of ambition.

At the 194-nation summit in Cancún, Mexico, Hugo Chávez, president of
Venezuela, Rafael Correa, president of Ecuador, and Bolivia's Evo
Morales, all of whom were accused by Gordon Brown of "holding the
world to ransom" at last year's political debacle at Copenhagen, plan
to charge the rich nations with imperilling the poorest people in the
world.
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World Bank: "Carbon offsets sales have not worked"

Carbon offset sales have not worked - World Bank
A new World Bank study conducted by the Independent Evaluation Group find offset sales are not working and suggests five solutions


BUSINESS DAY
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UN Advisory Group on Climate Finance Report Falls Flat

PRESS RELEASE
November 5, 2010

CONTACTS: Ben Lilliston, IATP, 1-612-870-3416, ben@iatp.org
Janet Redman, Institute for Policy Studies, 1-508-430-0464
Ilana Solomon, ActionAid USA, 1-202-370-9927
Karen Orenstein, Friends of the Earth U.S., 1-202-222-0717

UN Advisory Group on Climate Finance Report Falls Flat

Recommendations Downplay Role of Public Finance, Rely Too Much on Private Finance

A new report on climate change financing options released today by a U.N. Advisory Group unwisely emphasizes carbon markets and other private finance options, while irresponsibly advocating an increased role for multilateral development banks (MDBs). Despite concluding that public sources of climate finance are available and promising, the report’s findings downplay the role that public finance can and must play in helping developing countries deal with climate change.
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John Prescott: No binding targets at Cancún - Friends of the Earth's reaction

Friends of the Earth press releaseEmbargo: For immediate release, Thursday 4 November 2010Contact: Henry Rummins, Friends of the Earth press office - 020 7566 1649JOHN PRESCOTT: NO BINDING TARGETS AT CANCUN - FRIENDS OF THE EARTH REACTIONCommenting on John Prescott's suggestion on Radio 4's the Today Programme that negotiators should ditch attempts to secure binding emissions reduction targets
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Geoengineering Moratorium at UN Ministerial in Japan Risky Climate Techno-fixes Blocked

News Release
29 October 2010
www.etcgroup.org

Geoengineering Moratorium at UN Ministerial in Japan
Risky Climate Techno-fixes Blocked

NAGOYA, Japan – In a landmark consensus decision, the 193-member UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) will close its tenth biennial meeting with a de facto moratorium on geoengineering projects and experiments. “Any private or public experimentation or adventurism intended to manipulate the planetary thermostat will be in violation of this carefully crafted UN consensus,” stated Silvia Ribeiro, Latin American Director of ETC Group.

The agreement, reached during the ministerial portion of the two-week meeting which included 110 environment ministers, asks governments to ensure that no geoengineering activities take place until risks to the environment and biodiversity and associated social, cultural and economic impacts have been appropriately considered. The CBD secretariat was also instructed to report back on various geoengineering proposals and potential intergovernmental regulatory measures.

The unusually strong consensus decision builds on the 2008 moratorium on ocean fertilization.
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Caught! EU business lobby funding climate legislation blockers in US Senate

Caught! EU business lobby funding climate legislation blockers in US Senate
Monday, 25 October 2010 10:12


Today CAN Europe [1] released a new report [2] based on an analysis of publicly available campaign finance records, definitively proving that polluting European companies are funding climate legislation blockers in US politics. Their overseas support is all the more galling because the same companies argue that additional emissions reductions in Europe cannot be pursued until the United States takes action.

“It’s disturbing that these European polluters fund anti-climate crusaders in the US while simultaneously fighting against strong climate legislation in Europe,” said Tomas Wyns, CAN Europe Senior Policy Officer. “This newly released data proves the anecdotal rumours about European companies that have been circulating for some time.” The report was created using information that became available throughout the month of October, based on data released by the US Federal Elections Commission and accessible via the Open Secrets database [3]. CAN Europe uncovered what appears to be a clear pattern of European polluters influencing United States climate and energy policies through targeted donations to candidates who oppose action on climate change.
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Dale Wen om US WTO case in China Dialogue

Here is a comment regarding the US United Steelworkers complaint against China regarding clean tech subsidies. It was published at the China Dialogue web site:

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Pointing the finger the wrong way
By Dale Jiajun Wen

October 19, 2010

America’s largest union has persuaded Obama to investigate China’s cleantech subsidies – a protectionist move that will only hinder green progress and foster climate scepticism, writes Dale Jiajun Wen.
“If China is blamed no matter what it does on climate, what better evidence is there to convince people that climate change is merely a western conspiracy to constrain the growth of developing countries?”


On September 9, the biggest union in the United States, United Steelworkers, filed a 5,800-page petition under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, alleging that the Chinese government has violated international trade laws by providing hundreds of billions of dollars in illegal subsidies to its green-technology producers and exporters.

The organisation asked the US government to initiate an investigation and bring this case before the World Trade Organisation (WTO) – and on Friday last week (15 October), Barack Obama’s administration obliged, announcing the launch of a probe into the complaints.
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Feed-in tariffs as part of a global "Marshall plan" for climate and development

Here is material speaking in favour of a global system of feed-in tariffs for renewable energy, an ambitious public investment approach – a global "Marhall plan" – to simultaneously tackle the climate crisis and energy poverty. The idea has great potential and is being promoted both by UN DESA, a actors ranging from progressive CSOs to Deutsche Bank. Swedish Society for Nature Conservation has promoted the scheme over the last few years and compiled several publications that explains and prmotes the idea.


A series of four fact sheets outlining the scheme. All compiled into one pdf-file here.


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Cochabamba Proposals Will be Brought to Cancun

Communique by the Plurinational State of Bolivia

Cochabamba Proposals Will be Brought to Cancun

(October 10, 2010 - Tianjin, China) The proposals of the World People's Conference on Climate Change and the Rights of Mother Earth have been maintained and expanded upon in the new negotiating text on climate change that emerged from the last round of negotiations in Tianjin, China.

Throughout the process in Tianjin, attempts were made to substitute the negotiating text, which contains the positions of all countries, with a text that would be limited to recognizing the principal elements of consensus for Cancun.

In some working groups, such as the one dealing with "various approaches for mitigation actions," a proposal was presented which only contained the pro-market option. Following a long debate in which the right of all countries to have their proposals reflected in the negotiating text until a consensus is reached ultimately prevailed, a new text was agreed upon. That text now includes, among various options, the position of Cochabamba against the carbon market, and a passage asserting that the rights of nature must be recognized in mitigation actions.
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TWN Tianjin News Update 12 and 13

Third World Network News updates from the Tianjin UNFCCC negotiations 4-9 October 2010.


Third World Network update no 12: "'Developing countries stress on Party-driven text for Cancun".

Third World Network update no 13: "BASIC countries set out expectations for Cancun conference".
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TWN Tianjin News Update 11

Third World Network News updates from the Tianjin UNFCCC negotiations 4-9 October 2010.


Third World Network update no 11: "'Parties voice concern over limited progress in Tianjin climate talks".
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TWN Tianjin News Update 10

Third World Network News updates from the Tianjin UNFCCC negotiations 4-9 October 2010.


Third World Network update no 10: "'Kyoto Protocol’s future still uncertain".
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Letter to negotiators from Climate Justice Now!


Here a 2-page letter to the climate negotiators gathered in Tianjin, highlighting the key points from the climate justice now network and the Cochabamba conference that were eventually included in the formal negotiating text following the previous negotiations in Bonn, August 2010. The letter urges the negotiators to ensure these options/positions – including more stringent targets for developed countries; equitable distribution of atmospheric space; the righs of Mother Earth, and more substantial financing for developing countries –– stay in the text for further negotiation in Cancún.

Download English version here; French version here.
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Tianjin Sends Out Signals of Climate Hope and Scepticism

Summary of the Tianjin negotiations by Hiroshi Nagai and Taro Ichikawa for the news service IDN-InDepthNews.
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